Super Tuesday Analysis
VPAP looked at the results in precincts around Virginia that share certain attributes.
61+ Voters
- These are precincts in which those who are aged 61 and older comprise more than half the voters
GOP PRIMARY
- 34.8% - Trump
- 32.6% - Rubio
- 15.6% - Kasich
- 10.8% - Cruz
- 5.2% - Carson
- 1.0% - Other
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
- 72.1% - Clinton
- 27.4% - Sanders
- 0.5% - O'Malley
Included in the totals above are the following precincts:
Albemarle County: 204 - BELFIELD
Bedford County: 205 - SAUNDERS VOL FIRE CO
Fairfax County: 426 - GREENSPRING
Franklin County: 103 - SCRUGGS
Henrico County: 205 - CANTERBURY
James City County: 301 - POWHATAN A
James City County: 502 - ROBERTS B
Lancaster County: 101 - PRECINCT 1-1
Lancaster County: 302 - PRECINCT 3-2
Lancaster County: 501 - PRECINCT 5-1
Mecklenburg County: 102 - PEARSONS STORE
Nelson County: 502 - NELLYSFORD
Northumberland County: 401 - 4A
Northumberland County: 501 - 5A
Prince William County: 406 - ALVEY
Richmond City: 309 - THREE HUNDRED NINE
Virginia Beach City: 035 - COURTHOUSE
African-American Voters
- These are core city precincts where President Obama received more than 97 percent of the vote in 2012
GOP PRIMARY
- 29.7% - Trump
- 25.1% - Rubio
- 19.0% - Carson
- 16.7% - Cruz
- 4.2% - Kasich
- 5.3% - Other
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
- 88.2% - Clinton
- 11.5% - Sanders
- 0.3% - O'Malley
Included in the totals above are the following precincts:
Danville City: 014 - WARD FOURTEEN
Franklin City: 501 - PRECINCT 5-1
Henrico County: 206 - CENTRAL GARDENS
Martinsville City: 001 - PRECINCT #1
Martinsville City: 006 - PRECINCT #6
Newport News City: 304 - CHESTNUT
Newport News City: 306 - DUNBAR
Newport News City: 307 - HUNTINGTON
Newport News City: 308 - JEFFERSON
Newport News City: 309 - MAGRUDER
Newport News City: 310 - MARSHALL
Newport News City: 312 - NEWSOME PARK
Newport News City: 313 - REED
Newport News City: 317 - WASHINGTON
Norfolk City: 303 - BOWLING PARK
Norfolk City: 313 - UNION CHAPEL
Norfolk City: 402 - BERKLEY
Norfolk City: 403 - BRAMBLETON
Norfolk City: 404 - CAMPOSTELLA
Norfolk City: 405 - CHESTERFIELD
Norfolk City: 414 - YOUNG PARK
Petersburg City: 601 - SIXTH WARD FIRST PRECINCT
Portsmouth City: 005 - FIVE
Portsmouth City: 011 - ELEVEN
Portsmouth City: 013 - THIRTEEN
Portsmouth City: 014 - FOURTEEN
Portsmouth City: 021 - TWENTY-ONE
Portsmouth City: 026 - TWENTY-SIX
Portsmouth City: 027 - TWENTY-SEVEN
Portsmouth City: 028 - TWENTY EIGHT
Richmond City: 304 - THREE HUNDRED FOUR
Richmond City: 602 - SIX HUNDRED TWO
Richmond City: 604 - SIX HUNDRED FOUR
Richmond City: 610 - SIX HUNDRED TEN
Richmond City: 701 - SEVEN HUNDRED ONE
Richmond City: 802 - EIGHT HUNDRED TWO
Suffolk City: 605 - HOLLYWOOD
College Towns
- Voters age 25 and under account for more than 60% of registered voters in 2014
- Located on or adjacent to a college campus
GOP PRIMARY
- 47.5% - Rubio
- 22.6% - Cruz
- 11.4% - Trump
- 9.9% - Carson
- 7.4% - Kasich
- 1.1% - Other
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
- 70.3% - Sanders
- 29.1% - Clinton
- 0.6% - O'Malley
Included in the totals above are the following precincts:
Albemarle County: 202 - UNIVERSITY HALL
Harrisonburg City: 102 - EAST CENTRAL
Lynchburg City: 302 - THIRD WARD SECOND PRECINCT
Montgomery County: 702 - PRECINCT G-2
Richmond City: 206 - TWO HUNDRED SIX
Small Towns
- Precincts that cover all or most of towns with population between 2,500 to 5,500
- Located outside high-growth area of Virginia's "urban crescent"
GOP PRIMARY
- 48.4% - Trump
- 22.0% - Rubio
- 15.5% - Cruz
- 7.8% - Carson
- 5.2% - Kasich
- 1.2% - Other
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
- 60.3% - Clinton
- 39.1% - Sanders
- 0.6% - O'Malley
Included in the totals above are the following precincts:
Accomack County: 101 - CHINCOTEAGUE
Campbell County: 303 - ALTAVISTA
Carroll County: 301 - HILLSVILLE C
Giles County: 201 - PEARISBURG
Isle of Wight County: 402 - WINDSOR
King William County: 101 - WEST POINT
Mecklenburg County: 501 - SOUTH HILL
Orange County: 301 - THREE WEST
Rockingham County: 102 - TIMBERVILLE
Rockingham County: 304 - GROTTOES
Rockingham County: 501 - ELKTON
Russell County: 501 - WEST LEBANON
Tazewell County: 502 - GRAHAM
Westmoreland County: 501 - PRECINCT 5-1
Wise County: 201 - NORTH COEBURN
Wise County: 202 - WISE
March 2, 2016