Bernie (2020) vs Bernie (2016)

Bernie Sanders won 23% of the vote in Tuesday's Democratic primary, down from his 35% in Virginia four years ago. Here's a look at where he did better or worse this time.


Percentage Point Change, 2016-2020

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African-American Precincts: 20 precincts where at least 95% of registered voters are African-American.

Millennial Precincts: 20 precincts where at least 45% of registered voters are millennials (born after 1985 and before 1997). Not on or adjacent to a college campus.

Clinton Precincts: The 30 precincts where Hillary Clinton received the highest percent of the vote in the 2016 presidential primary, and at least 100 ballots were cast. Excludes precincts in the African-American, college, and millennial precinct groups.

Flipped Suburban Precincts: 64 suburban precincts that voted majority Republican in the 2013 Governors race, but flipped to Democratic in the 2017 Governors race. Only includes precincts where the margin between Democratic and Republican votes increased by 10 or more points from 2013 to 2017.

College Precincts: 14 precincts where at least 50% of registered voters are age 25 or younger. On or adjacent to a college campus.

Sanders Precincts: The 30 precincts where Bernie Sanders received the highest percent of the vote in the 2016 presidential primary, and at least 100 ballots were cast. Excludes precincts in the African-American, college, and millennial precinct groups.


Source: Virginia Department of Elections

March 6, 2020